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1.
Mod Rheumatol ; 31(1): 42-52, 2021 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31903822

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: We evaluated long-term control of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in Japanese paid workers (PWs) and house workers (HWs) treated with subcutaneous tocilizumab (TCZ-SC) and explored factors affecting response to TCZ-SC regarding work productivity. METHODS: This study collected data from patients with RA in the TCZ-SC +/- conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs group. Factors affecting the response to tocilizumab regarding work productivity were explored using logistic regression. Differences in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) between with/without response were analysed by a linear regression. RESULTS: Data were analysed for 357/360 patients. Patients with a ≥ 75% improvement in activity impairment (AI) were considered responders. EuroQol-5 Dimension (EQ-5D), six-item Kessler psychological distress scale score (K6), Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ-DI), and the patient's disease global health by visual analogue scale were significant contributors to TCZ-SC response based on improvements in AI. Work Functioning Impairment Scale, presenteeism, EQ-5D, K6, and HAQ-DI significantly contributed to the improvement of overall work impairment in PWs. Shorter disease duration also was related to TCZ-SC response based on AI improvements. Responders had significantly larger mean QALYs than non-responders (difference = 0.2614; p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: These real-world clinical data support long-term work productivity control with TCZ-SC for biologic-naïve HWs and PWs with RA.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados/uso terapéutico , Antirreumáticos/uso terapéutico , Artritis Reumatoide/tratamiento farmacológico , Lugar de Trabajo , Adulto , Anciano , Eficiencia , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Inyecciones Subcutáneas , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
2.
J Biopharm Stat ; 30(2): 377-401, 2020 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31820674

RESUMEN

In recent placebo-controlled randomized phase 3 oncology trials, evaluation of overall survival with frequent crossover is crucial for regulatory and pricing decisions. The problem is that an intention-to-treat based analysis causes a substantial loss of power to detect causal survival effect without crossover, and performance of existing methods is not satisfactory. In this article, our aims were to evaluate properties of the existing and a proposed Bayesian power prior method where data from an external trial is available. Simulation results suggested that proposed method was the most powerful under typical scenarios where patients with better prognosis are likely to crossover.


Asunto(s)
Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto/estadística & datos numéricos , Simulación por Computador/estadística & datos numéricos , Análisis de Mediación , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/mortalidad , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/estadística & datos numéricos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto/métodos , Estudios Cruzados , Método Doble Ciego , Humanos , Oncología Médica/métodos , Oncología Médica/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/terapia , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , Tasa de Supervivencia/tendencias
3.
Br J Cancer ; 120(7): 689-696, 2019 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30833647

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Up to 6-months oxaliplatin-containing regimen is now widely accepted as a standard adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colorectal cancer (CRC). However, oral fluoropyrimidine monotherapy is used for some part of patients, especially in Asian countries including Japan, and its optimal duration is yet to be fully investigated. METHODS: A total of 1306 patients with curatively-resected stage III CRC were randomly assigned to receive capecitabine (2500 mg/m2/day) for 14 out of 21 days for 6 (n = 654) or 12 (n = 650) months. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS), and the secondary endpoints were relapse-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and adverse events. RESULTS: The 3- and 5-year DFS were 70.0% and 65.3% in the 6M group and 75.3% and 68.7% in the 12M group, respectively (p = 0.0549, HR = 0.858, 90% CI: 0.732-1.004). The 5-year RFS was 69.3% and 74.1% in the 6M and 12M groups, respectively (p = 0.0143, HR = 0.796, 90% CI: 0.670-0.945). The 5-year OS was 83.2% and 87.6%, respectively (p = 0.0124, HR = 0.727, 90% CI: 0.575-0.919). The incidence of overall grade 3-4 adverse events was almost comparable in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: Although 12-month adjuvant capecitabine did not demonstrate superior DFS to that of 6-month, the observed better RFS and OS in the 12-month treatment period could be of value in selected cases.


Asunto(s)
Adenocarcinoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Antimetabolitos Antineoplásicos/administración & dosificación , Capecitabina/administración & dosificación , Neoplasias Colorrectales/tratamiento farmacológico , Adenocarcinoma/patología , Anciano , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Duración de la Terapia , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales
4.
Pharm Stat ; 17(6): 750-760, 2018 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30112847

RESUMEN

In phase I/II anticancer drug-combination trials, trial design to evaluate toxicity and efficacy has been studied by dividing the trial into 2 stages, followed by seamless execution of the 2 stages. In the first stage, admissible dose combinations in toxicity are identified, followed by patient assignment among the identified admissible dose combinations using adaptive randomization in the second stage. When patients are assigned using adaptive randomization, it is desirable to determine a more appropriate dose combination by taking into consideration both drug efficacy and toxicity; however, during the course of this determination and evaluation of toxicity and efficacy, there remains a concern that the trial duration might be prolonged. Therefore, we proposed a trial design to assign patients adaptively to more appropriate dose combinations in both toxicity and efficacy and to shorten trial duration without compromising trial performance. When selecting the dose combination for subsequent cohorts, unobserved data are treated as missing data, which are imputed using a data augmentation algorithm involving a gamma process. Probabilities associated with toxicity and efficacy are estimated applying a Bayesian hierarchical model to the imputed data, thereby allowing more patients to be assigned more appropriate dose combinations in both toxicity and efficacy through adaptive randomization. Results of simulation studies suggested that the proposed approach shortened trial duration without significantly compromising the performance of the trial as compared with existing approaches. We believe that the proposed approach will expedite drug development time and reduce costs associated with clinical development.


Asunto(s)
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Teorema de Bayes , Ensayos Clínicos Fase I como Asunto , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto , Proyectos de Investigación , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Probabilidad
5.
Arthritis Res Ther ; 20(1): 151, 2018 07 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30029613

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Following the onset of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), patients experience a functional decline caused by various joint symptoms which affects their activities of daily living and can lead to reduced work productivity. We evaluated the effect of a 52-week treatment with tocilizumab by subcutaneous injection (TCZ-SC) among biologic-naive Japanese house workers (HWs) and paid workers (PWs) with RA in a real-world clinical practice. METHODS: This multicenter, observational, prospective study enrolled 377 and 347 RA patients into TCZ-SC and conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDs)-alone groups, respectively. The primary endpoint was the change in percentage of overall work impairment (OWI) among PWs at week 52 assessed using the Work Productivity and Activity Impairment Questionnaire (WPAI). Inverse probability of treatment weighting analyses were used to compare treatments. The Work Functioning Impairment Scale, disease activity, quality of life (QOL) measures, and safety were also assessed. RESULTS: The weighted change in OWI from baseline for PWs was -18.9% (TCZ-SC group) and -19.0% (csDMARDs group) at week 52, without a significant between-group difference (adjusted treatment difference 0.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) -6.3 to 6.5; P = 0.978). Changes in WPAI activity impairment in the overall group (between-group difference -6.4, 95% CI -10.7 to -2.2; P = 0.003) and HWs (-9.5, 95% CI - 16.0 to -2.9; P = 0.005) were significantly better with TCZ-SC than with csDMARDs at week 52. TCZ-SC-treated HWs showed significant improvement in all QOL assessments (Frenchay Activities Index, EuroQol 5 Dimension (EQ-5D), Japanese Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ-DI), and 6-item Kessler scale (K6)) at week 52; PWs did not show any between-group differences for these QOL measures. Disease activity (Disease Activity Score 28-erythrocyte sedimentation rate, Clinical Disease Activity Index, and Simplified Disease Activity Index) and QOL measures (EQ-5D, HAQ-DI, and K6) improved over time in the overall group. No new safety concerns were raised with TCZ-SC. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the lack of differences in OWI between groups at week 52, the overall group (particularly HWs) receiving TCZ-SC in addition to csDMARDs showed significant improvements in activity impairment, disease activity, and QOL versus those receiving csDMARDs alone. This study may promote the evaluation of work productivity improvements in HWs and PWs by RA treatment.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados/administración & dosificación , Antirreumáticos/administración & dosificación , Artritis Reumatoide/tratamiento farmacológico , Eficiencia/efectos de los fármacos , Actividades Cotidianas , Adulto , Anciano , Pueblo Asiatico , Femenino , Humanos , Inyecciones Subcutáneas , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Calidad de Vida
6.
Dis Colon Rectum ; 61(7): 803-808, 2018 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29561282

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Most previous reports to analyze risk factors for peritoneal recurrence in patients with colon cancer have been observational studies of a population-based cohort. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the risk factors for peritoneal recurrence in patients with stage II to III colon cancer who underwent curative resection. DESIGN: This was a pooled analysis using a combined database obtained from 3 large phase III randomized trials (N = 3714). SETTINGS: Individual patient data were collected from the Japanese Foundation for Multidisciplinary Treatment of Cancer clinical trials 7, 15, and 33, which evaluated the benefits of postoperative 5-fluorouracil-based adjuvant therapies in patients with locally advanced colorectal cancer. PATIENTS: We included patients who had stage II to III colon cancer and underwent curative resection with over D2 lymph node dissection. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Main outcomes measured were risk factors for peritoneal recurrence without other organ metastasis after curative surgery. RESULTS: Peritoneal recurrence occurred in 2.3% (86/3714) of all patients undergoing curative resection. Mean duration from operation to peritoneal recurrence was 17.0 ± 10.3 months. Of these patients with peritoneal recurrence, 29 patients (34%) had recurrence in ≥1 other organ. Multivariate analysis showed that age (≥60 y: HR = 0.531; p = 0.0182), pathological T4 (HR = 3.802; p < 0.0001), lymph node involvement (HR = 3.491; p = 0.0002), and lymphadenectomy (D2: HR = 1.801; p = 0.0356) were independent predictors of peritoneal recurrence. The overall survival was lower in patients who developed peritoneal recurrence than in those with other recurrence (HR = 1.594; p = 0.002). LIMITATIONS: The regimens of adjuvant chemotherapy were limited to oral 5-fluorouracil. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings clarified the risk factors for peritoneal recurrence in patients who underwent curative resection for colon cancer. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A609.


Asunto(s)
Adenocarcinoma Mucinoso/epidemiología , Adenocarcinoma/epidemiología , Neoplasias del Colon/patología , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/epidemiología , Neoplasias Peritoneales/epidemiología , Adenocarcinoma/secundario , Adenocarcinoma/terapia , Adenocarcinoma Mucinoso/secundario , Adenocarcinoma Mucinoso/terapia , Anciano , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Colectomía , Neoplasias del Colon/terapia , Femenino , Fluorouracilo/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Escisión del Ganglio Linfático , Ganglios Linfáticos/patología , Metástasis Linfática , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Neoplasias Peritoneales/secundario , Factores de Riesgo
7.
Dis Colon Rectum ; 61(4): 461-471, 2018 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29521828

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although colorectal cancer comprises several histological subtypes, the influences of histological subtypes on disease progression and treatment responses remain controversial. OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the prognostic relevance of mucinous and poorly differentiated histological subtypes of colorectal cancer by the propensity score weighting analysis of prospectively collected data from multi-institute phase III trials. DESIGN: Independent patient data analysis of a pooled database from 3 phase III trials was performed. SETTINGS: An integrated database of 3 multicenter prospective clinical trials (the Japanese Foundation for Multidisciplinary Treatment of Cancer 7, 15, and 33) was the source of study data. INTERVENTIONS: Surgery alone or postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy was offered in patients with resectable colorectal cancer. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: To balance essential variables more strictly for the comparison analyses, propensity score weighting was conducted with the use of a multinomial logistic regression model. We evaluated the clinical signatures of mucinous and poorly differentiated subtypes with regard to postoperative survival, recurrence, and chemosensitivity. RESULTS: Of 5489 patients, 136 (2.5%) and 155 (2.8%) were pathologically diagnosed with poorly differentiated and mucinous subtypes. The poorly differentiated subtypes were associated with a poorer prognosis than the "others" group (HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.00-2.87; p = 0.051), particularly in the patient subgroup of adjuvant chemotherapy (HR, 2.16). Although the mucinous subtype had a marginal prognostic impact among patients with stage I to III colorectal cancer (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.90-1.96), it was found to be an independent prognostic factor in the subpopulation of patients with stage II disease, being associated with a higher prevalence of peritoneal recurrence. LIMITATIONS: The treatment regimens of postoperative chemotherapy are now somewhat outdated. CONCLUSIONS: Both mucinous and poorly differentiated subtypes have distinct clinical characteristics. Patients with the mucinous subtype require special attention during follow-up, even for stage II disease, because of the risk of peritoneal or local recurrence. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A531.


Asunto(s)
Adenocarcinoma/diagnóstico , Adenocarcinoma/patología , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Adenocarcinoma/mortalidad , Adenocarcinoma/terapia , Adulto , Anciano , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto , Neoplasias Colorrectales/mortalidad , Neoplasias Colorrectales/terapia , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , Pronóstico , Puntaje de Propensión , Análisis de Supervivencia
8.
J Toxicol Pathol ; 31(1): 15-22, 2018 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29479136

RESUMEN

Generally, multiple statistical analysis methods can be applied for certain kind of data, and conclusion could differ, depending on the selected statistical method. Therefore, it is necessary to fully understand the performance of each statistical method and to examine which method is appropriate to use and to standardize statistical methods for toxicity studies to be carried out routinely. Several viewpoints for selecting appropriate statistical methods are discussed in this review paper. According to the distribution form, i.e., whether a distribution has a bell shape without outliers or not, either a parametric or a nonparametric approach should be selected. The nonparametric approach is also available for categorical data. Depending on the design and purpose of a study, several forms of statistical analysis are available. Assuming dose dependency, comparisons with a control are conducted by Williams test (nonparametric: Shirley-Williams test). When a dose dependent relationship is not expected, comparisons with the control are conducted by Dunnett test (nonparametric: Steel test). All possible pairwise comparisons among groups are conducted by Tukey test (nonparametric: Steel-Dwass test). If we are interested in several specific comparisons among groups, the Bonferroni-adjusted Student's t-test (nonparametric: the Bonferroni-adjusted Wilcoxon test) can be used.

9.
J Biopharm Stat ; 28(6): 1025-1037, 2018.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29420127

RESUMEN

In Phase I/II trials for a combination therapy of two agents, we ideally want to explore as many dose combinations as possible with limited sample size in Phase I and to reduce the number of untried dose combinations before moving to Phase II. Efficient collection of toxicity data in Phase I would eventually improve the accuracy of optimal dose combination identification in Phase II. In this paper, we develop a novel dose-finding method based on efficacy and toxicity outcomes for two-agent combination Phase I/II trials. We propose a "zone-finding stage" that determines the most admissible toxicity zone on the dose combination matrix and subsequently select the dose combination allocated to the next patient from that zone in Phase I. Upon completion of this zone-finding stage, we allocate the next patient to the dose combination determined by adaptive randomization of the admissible toxicity and efficacy dose combinations in Phase II. Simulation studies demonstrated the utility of the proposed zone-finding stage and proved that the operating characteristic of the proposed method was no worse than the existing method. The sensitivity of the proposed method, as well as the operating characteristic of this method when the efficacy outcome is delayed, was also examined.


Asunto(s)
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/administración & dosificación , Bioestadística/métodos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase I como Asunto/estadística & datos numéricos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias/tratamiento farmacológico , Proyectos de Investigación/estadística & datos numéricos , Algoritmos , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase I como Asunto/métodos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto/métodos , Simulación por Computador , Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Esquema de Medicación , Cálculo de Dosificación de Drogas , Humanos , Dosis Máxima Tolerada , Modelos Estadísticos , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
10.
Circ J ; 82(4): 1051-1061, 2018 03 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29445065

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Patient-physician concordance is an important concern in the treatment of elderly patients with hypertension (HT). Treatment that considers concordance is necessary for mutual understanding and therapeutic satisfaction between patients and physicians. However, there have been no studies addressing concordance that objectively analyzed both patient and physician satisfaction before and after treatment.Methods and Results:An exploratory open-label, multicenter, intervention study was conducted. Patients with HT undergoing treatment with angiotensin-receptor blocker (ARB) or a calcium-channel blocker (CCB) monotherapy were enrolled. Medication was switched to an ARB/CCB combination tablet and taken for 12 weeks. Physicians and patients participated in satisfaction surveys concerning treatment. Discrepancies in satisfaction levels between patients and physicians were found at baseline for the following survey items: treatment, involvement in treatment, understanding of HT, reliance, medication, and blood pressure. After treatment, the satisfaction levels of both patients and physicians increased; discrepancies in satisfaction between the groups also improved. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of satisfaction were relatively higher for patients compared with physicians at baseline. After HT treatment addressing concordance, both patient and physician satisfaction rates and the gap in satisfaction rates between patients and physicians improved. This indicates that addressing concordance has clinical significance in the treatment of elderly HT patients. (UMIN000017270).


Asunto(s)
Antihipertensivos/uso terapéutico , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico , Satisfacción del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Médicos/psicología , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/uso terapéutico , Bloqueadores de los Canales de Calcio/uso terapéutico , Femenino , Humanos , Satisfacción en el Trabajo , Masculino , Relaciones Médico-Paciente
11.
J Biopharm Stat ; 28(4): 589-611, 2018.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28886305

RESUMEN

The selection of progression-free survival (PFS) or overall survival (OS) as the most suitable primary endpoint (PE) in oncology Phase 3 trials is currently under intense debate. Because of substantial limitations in the single use of PFS (or OS) as the PE, trial designs that include PFS and OS as co-primary endpoints are attracting increasing interest. In this article, we report on the formulation of determining the sample size for a trial that sequentially tests PFS and OS by treating them as co-PEs. Using a three-component model of OS, the proposed method overcomes the drawbacks of an existing method that requires unreasonable assumption of the exponential distribution for OS, although the hazard function is nonconstant because effective subsequent therapy has prolonged postprogression survival in recent oncology trials. Alternative estimation method of hazard ratio for OS under a three-component mode is also discussed by checking the appropriateness of assuming proportionality of hazards for OS. In order to examine the performance of our proposed method, we performed three numerical studies using both simulated and actual data of cancer Phase 3 trials. We find that the proposed method preserves a prespecified target value of power with a feasible increment of trial scale.


Asunto(s)
Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto/métodos , Simulación por Computador , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Supervivencia sin Progresión , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Oncología Médica/métodos , Oncología Médica/tendencias , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/terapia , Tamaño de la Muestra , Tasa de Supervivencia/tendencias
12.
J Cancer ; 8(19): 4057-4064, 2017.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29187881

RESUMEN

Purpose: Reliable risk estimates of recurrence are necessary to establish optimal postoperative surveillance strategies. The purpose of the present study was to clarify changes in the hazard rate (HR) for tumor recurrence over time in Japanese patients with colon cancer. Methods: Data for 3984 patients from three clinical trials evaluating the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy for colon cancer were analyzed. Estimated HRs were plotted over time for the entire cohort, as well as for node-positive and node-negative patients separately. The changes in risk were further analyzed according to eight clinical variables, and factors predictive of early (<3 years) and late (>3 years) recurrence were explored using Cox's regression analysis. Results: In node-positive patients, there was a prominent HR peak 0.6 years after surgery, whereas HR remained at consistently low levels in node-negative patients. In node-positive patients, HR decreased steadily until 3 years, after which the decline in HR plateaued. Those with T4 tumors had a prominent HR peak around 1 year, including node-negative patients. The HR for T1/T2 Stage III colon cancers showed a similar pattern as that for T1-T3 node-negative colon cancers. Cox regression analysis revealed that a lack of adjuvant chemotherapy, positive node status, T3/T4 factors, and male gender predict early recurrence, whereas patients with lymph node metastasis, T4 tumors, and a lesser extent of lymph node removal have a higher risk of recurrence 3-4 years after surgery (P<0.05). Conclusion: The present study supports the concept of intensive surveillance during the first 3 years after curative resection. However, a reduction in surveillance intensity may be acceptable for patients with T3 Stage II and T1/T2 Stage III colon cancer.

13.
Oncotarget ; 8(58): 99150-99160, 2017 Nov 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29228760

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Few prediction models have so far been developed and assessed for the prognosis of patients who undergo curative resection for colorectal cancer (CRC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We prepared a clinical dataset including 5,530 patients who participated in three major randomized controlled trials as a training dataset and 2,263 consecutive patients who were treated at a cancer-specialized hospital as a validation dataset. All subjects underwent radical resection for CRC which was histologically diagnosed to be adenocarcinoma. The main outcomes that were predicted were the overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS). The identification of the variables in this nomogram was based on a Cox regression analysis and the model performance was evaluated by Harrell's c-index. The calibration plot and its slope were also studied. For the external validation assessment, risk group stratification was employed. RESULTS: The multivariate Cox model identified variables; sex, age, pathological T and N factor, tumor location, size, lymphnode dissection, postoperative complications and adjuvant chemotherapy. The c-index was 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.66-0.77) for the OS and 0.74 (95% CI 0.69-0.78) for the DFS. The proposed stratification in the risk groups demonstrated a significant distinction between the Kaplan-Meier curves for OS and DFS in the external validation dataset. CONCLUSIONS: We established a clinically reliable nomogram to predict the OS and DFS in patients with CRC using large scale and reliable independent patient data from phase III randomized controlled trials. The external validity was also confirmed on the practical dataset.

14.
Anticancer Res ; 37(10): 5851-5855, 2017 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28982911

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/AIM: Progression-free survival (PFS), which is evaluated in oncology clinical trials, is determined based on tumor progression evaluated according to an assessment schedule. There is possibly a bias in median PFS and hazard ratio (HR) for PFS depending on the assessment schedule referring to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We re-analyzed the PFS in the FTD/TPI phase 2 trial by changing the assessment schedule. To assess biases in median PFS and HR for PFS resulting from different assessment schedules, we performed a computational simulation. RESULTS: The reanalysis of FTD/TPI phase 2 trial and the simulation results showed that there were biases in median PFS and HR for PFS. CONCLUSION: In RCTs for early progressive cancer, median PFS is dependent on the assessment schedule; however, HR for PFS can be assessed without clinically-meaningful differences between assessment schedules, regardless of biomarker assumptions.


Asunto(s)
Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto/métodos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/terapia , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Modelos Estadísticos , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , Proyectos de Investigación , Sesgo , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/mortalidad , Simulación por Computador , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/estadística & datos numéricos , Proyectos de Investigación/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
15.
Cancer Med ; 6(11): 2523-2530, 2017 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28948714

RESUMEN

The aim of the present study was to determine whether or not the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were affected by the tumor location in patients who underwent curative resection for colon cancer in a pooled analysis of three large phase III studies performed in Japan. In total, 4029 patients were included in the present study. Patients were classified as having right-side colon cancer (RC) if the primary tumor was located in the cecum, ascending colon, hepatic flexure or transverse colon, and left-side colon cancer (LCC) if the tumor site was within the splenic flexure, descending colon, sigmoid colon or recto sigmoid junction. The risk factors for the OS and DFS were analyzed. In the present study, 1449 patients were RC, and 2580 were LCC. The OS rates at 3 and 5 years after surgery were 87.6% and 81.6% in the RC group and 91.5% and 84.5% in the LCC group, respectively. Uni- and multivariate analyses showed that RRC increased the risk of death by 19.7% (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.197; 95% confidence interval, 1.020-1.408; P = 0.0272). In contrast, the DFS was similar between the two locations. The present study confirmed that the tumor location was a risk factor for the OS in patients who underwent curative treatment for colon cancer. Tumor location may, therefore, need to be considered a stratification factor in future phase III trials of colon cancer.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias del Colon/patología , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Adulto , Anciano , Ciego/patología , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto , Colon/patología , Colon Ascendente/patología , Colon Descendente/patología , Colon Sigmoide/patología , Colon Transverso/patología , Neoplasias del Colon/mortalidad , Neoplasias del Colon/cirugía , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Factores de Riesgo , Tasa de Supervivencia , Adulto Joven
16.
Chemotherapy ; 62(6): 357-360, 2017.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28817813

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Tegafur-uracil (UFT) improves survival in patients with stage I adenocarcinoma of the lung. We evaluated the effect of UFT on survival in maximum primary tumor diameter (T) categories as defined in the eighth edition of the TNM Classification (TNM8). METHODS: Tumors were subgrouped on the basis of T category (TNM8) as follows: T1a, T ≤1 cm; T1b, 1 < T ≤2 cm; T1c, 2 < T ≤3 cm; T2a, 3 < T ≤4 cm; T2b , 4 < T ≤5 cm; T3, 5 < T ≤7 cm. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: UFT was associated with improved survival. The adjusted HRs were as follows: for T1a, 0.79 (95% CI 0.14-4.50); for T1b, 1.16 (95% CI 0.63-2.12); for T1c, 0.74 (95% CI 0.43-1.27); for T2a, 0.45 (95% CI 0.21-0.96); for T2b, 0.55 (95% CI 0.10-3.07), and for T3, 0.70 (95% CI 0.20-2.50). CONCLUSIONS: The adjuvant chemotherapy with UFT tended to improve survival in patients with adenocarcinoma of the lung of each T category based on TNM8, except T1b.


Asunto(s)
Adenocarcinoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Antimetabolitos Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/tratamiento farmacológico , Tegafur/uso terapéutico , Uracilo/uso terapéutico , Adenocarcinoma/mortalidad , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidad , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Tasa de Supervivencia
17.
Pharm Stat ; 16(6): 433-444, 2017 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28840635

RESUMEN

Many new anticancer agents can be combined with existing drugs, as combining a number of drugs may be expected to have a better therapeutic effect than monotherapy owing to synergistic effects. Furthermore, to drive drug development and to reduce the associated cost, there has been a growing tendency to combine these as phase I/II trials. With respect to phase I/II oncology trials for the assessment of dose combinations, in the existing methodologies in which efficacy based on tumor response and safety based on toxicity are modeled as binary outcomes, it is not possible to enroll and treat the next cohort of patients unless the best overall response has been determined in the current cohort. Thus, the trial duration might be potentially extended to an unacceptable degree. In this study, we proposed a method that randomizes the next cohort of patients in the phase II part to the dose combination based on the estimated response rate using all the available observed data upon determination of the overall response in the current cohort. We compared the proposed method to the existing method using simulation studies. These demonstrated that the percentage of optimal dose combinations selected in the proposed method is not less than that in the existing method and that the trial duration in the proposed method is shortened compared to that in the existing method. The proposed method meets both ethical and financial requirements, and we believe it has the potential to contribute to expedite drug development.


Asunto(s)
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/administración & dosificación , Ensayos Clínicos Fase I como Asunto/métodos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto/métodos , Neoplasias/tratamiento farmacológico , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Simulación por Computador , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Diseño de Fármacos , Sinergismo Farmacológico , Humanos , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , Proyectos de Investigación , Factores de Tiempo
19.
Cancer Med ; 6(7): 1573-1580, 2017 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28639738

RESUMEN

This study assessed the impact of postoperative complications on the colorectal cancer survival and recurrence after curative surgery using pooled individual patients' data from three large phase III randomized trials. In total, 5530 patients were included in this study. The patients were classified as those with postoperative complications (C group) and those without postoperative complications (NC group). The risk factors for the overall survival (OS) and the disease-free survival (DFS) were analyzed. Postoperative complications were found in 861 (15.6%) of the 5530 patients. The OS and DFS rates at 5 years after surgery were 68.9% and 74.8%, respectively, in the C group and 75.8% and 82.2%, respectively, in the NC group, values that were significantly different between the two groups (P < 0.001). The multivariate analysis demonstrated that postoperative complications were a significant independent risk factor for the OS and DFS. Postoperative complications can worsen the colorectal cancer survival and risk of recurrence. Surgical morbidity must be considered as a stratification factor in future phase III trials evaluating the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy on colorectal cancer.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales/complicaciones , Neoplasias Colorrectales/mortalidad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Adulto , Anciano , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Neoplasias Colorrectales/cirugía , Terapia Combinada , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Morbilidad , Mortalidad , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Adulto Joven
20.
Br J Cancer ; 116(12): 1544-1550, 2017 Jun 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28472821

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Three randomised trials (GEST, JACCRO PC-01, and GEMSAP) were conducted to evaluate the efficacy of gemcitabine plus S-1 (GS) vs gemcitabine alone in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (PC). In this pooled analysis, the efficacy and safety of GS vs gemcitabine were evaluated. METHODS: Additional follow-up was conducted and survival data were updated in each study. A total of 770 patients (gemcitabine 389; GS 381) were included in the pooled analysis. The efficacy and safety data were analysed according to disease extent: locally advanced PC (LAPC) or metastatic PC (MPC). RESULTS: There were 738 (95.8%) overall survival events. In patients with LAPC (n=193), the median survival was 11.83 months for gemcitabine and 16.41 months for GS (hazard ratio (HR)=0.708; 95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.527-0.951; P=0.0220). In patients with MPC (n=577), the median survival was 8.02 months for gemcitabine and 9.43 months for GS (HR=0.872; 95% CI, 0.738-1.032; P=0.1102). The rate of grade 3/4 toxicity (rash and thrombocytopenia in LAPC; rash, diarrhoea, vomiting, and neutropaenia in MPC) was significantly higher for GS than for gemcitabine. CONCLUSIONS: Gemcitabine plus S-1 is a viable treatment alternative to gemcitabine, which is one of the standard treatments in patients with LAPC.


Asunto(s)
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/tratamiento farmacológico , Cuidados Posteriores , Anciano , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto , Desoxicitidina/administración & dosificación , Desoxicitidina/efectos adversos , Desoxicitidina/análogos & derivados , Diarrea/inducido químicamente , Combinación de Medicamentos , Erupciones por Medicamentos/etiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Neutropenia/etiología , Ácido Oxónico/administración & dosificación , Ácido Oxónico/efectos adversos , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/patología , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Tasa de Supervivencia , Tegafur/administración & dosificación , Tegafur/efectos adversos , Trombocitopenia/inducido químicamente , Vómitos/inducido químicamente , Gemcitabina
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